Comments on: Premature Oscar Predictions: 2018 Best Picture & Best Director Nominees

By: Donald Clarke

Donald Clarke — Fri, 31 Mar 2017 08:17:00 +0000

In reply to Tom Shea. I don't follow your point. That musical version was based on the 1958 film. The film was still an original musical. The Broadway adaptation referred to above is the legit, non-musical play from the 1950s.

By: Tom Shea

Tom Shea — Fri, 31 Mar 2017 06:13:00 +0000

Get Out? The Full Monty/Sixth Sense/Fugitive “popular, zeitgeisty, and well-made” slot?

By: Tom Shea

Tom Shea — Fri, 31 Mar 2017 06:10:00 +0000

In reply to Donald Clarke. The Broadway version from the 70s was indeed musical. It was revived last season.

By: Donald Clarke

Donald Clarke — Mon, 13 Mar 2017 15:48:00 +0000

I’m going to take pedantic issue with the argument that the last musical to win “not based on a Broadway show” was An American in Paris. Surely the answer is Gigi in 1958. There *was* a non-musical version of the story on Broadway, but the film is derived directly from the novella. Do I win a sad prize?

By: LA2000

LA2000 — Tue, 07 Mar 2017 20:16:00 +0000

The game is chess, not checkers.

In case the 2016 election and the surprise win of “Moonlight” didn’t tip you off, voters hate “prohibitive” frontrunners. And, in case the 2016 election and “Birth of a Nation” didn’t tip you off, competitors will shred the reputation of any candidate that looks like it’s going to try to make a serious run for the prize this far out. Being Oscar obvious with a 12 month lead is not an advantage. I can guarantee you that Harvey Weinstein has already worked up the oppo research on any of the above pictures with which he does not have an association.

All of the potential nominees listed hold some obvious hallmark of Oscar-y goodness, which is precisely why most of them won’t make the final cut. They are too predictable to make an exciting horse race and, by the time they are released, their creative or social bona fides will have been so worked over by the competition that they will have to be positively genius to snag so much as a tepid, 3-star review.

Which is how those “under the radar” nominees like “Moonlight”, “La La Land,” Sanders, and Trump rise as fast and far as they do.

Show us THAT list.

By: jh

jh — Fri, 03 Mar 2017 11:46:00 +0000

In reply to Michael Greenwaldt. Exactly.

By: Michael Greenwaldt

Michael Greenwaldt — Fri, 03 Mar 2017 08:14:00 +0000

In reply to cirkusfolk. The majority of those were good guesses though. And that's what they were. Guesses. At the time, before the controversy happened, it seemed Birth of a Nation would sweep this year. And I honestly believe it would have if controversy wouldn't have killed it. I don't understand why everyone is making a big deal about these early predictions. They're fun to read and will be even more fun to see how they panned out in a year. If you don't care then don't read it.

By: Khar99

Khar99 — Thu, 02 Mar 2017 15:02:00 +0000

The nice thing about doing these ‘predictions’ now is that in a year from now the author can always claim the editor published the wrong version of his list 🙂

By: NA4444

NA4444 — Thu, 02 Mar 2017 03:36:00 +0000

‘…with some interesting modern-day parallels at a time of rising anti-Semitism..’

I’ve been hearing this a lot recently and, while I hope this statement is not conflated to criticisms of Israeli government policies, it is worrying. However this so-called rise in anti-Semitism pales in comparison to the rise in Islamophobia.

By: osaro runner

osaro runner — Wed, 01 Mar 2017 23:06:00 +0000

God the Oscars just wrapped up a couple of days ago and you are already doing these bloody list’s come on at least wait a couple months at least yeah they are premature predictions but still at least allow the dust to settle first…..

By: John W

John W — Wed, 01 Mar 2017 21:14:00 +0000

And the envelope please….

Too soon?

By: Anthony

Anthony — Wed, 01 Mar 2017 19:59:00 +0000

I would also add Logan into the best picture mix, I think it has a real shot at being the first superhero movie to be nominated for best picture. Also Hugh jackman for best actor and Stewart for supporting are also legitimate contenders.

By: cirkusfolk

cirkusfolk — Wed, 01 Mar 2017 19:56:00 +0000

I see you’ve remedied that this time around by just including every film. I would say my top 5 would be: PTA, Three Billboards Outside of Edding MO, Dunkirk, Downsizing, and Star Wars

By: cirkusfolk

cirkusfolk — Wed, 01 Mar 2017 19:51:00 +0000

Uh yeah, I would say your pics last year sucked. Out of the 24 films you mention, only 4 were major award players. 11 didn’t get noms at all and were actually flops and the other 9 minus Jackie, just got 1 or 2 worthless noms.

La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Arrival
Moonlight

Birth of a Nation
BFG
Billy Lynn
Founder
Jackie – 3
Silence – 1
Sully – 1
Nocturnal Animals – 1
Allied – 1
Loving – 1
Rules Don’t Apply
Free State of Jones
Gold
Passengers – 2
Deepwater Horizon – 2
Girl on the Train
Light Between Oceans
Collateral Beauty
Miss Sloane
20th Century Women – 1