Comments on: Contender Countdown: Guys, Not Sure If You Heard But ‘La La Land’ Is Winning Best Picture

By: cirkusfolk

cirkusfolk — Thu, 08 Dec 2016 22:00:00 +0000

In reply to cirkusfolk. AFI released their top ten. Jackie and Lion weren't on it but Hacksaw and Silence were. Just saying ;)

By: Bite The Dust

Bite The Dust — Thu, 08 Dec 2016 20:01:00 +0000

In reply to gregoryellwood.

“They have much better taste overall and have more highbrow taste”

Either you’re kidding or you have a strange notion of what highbrow taste means…I’ll give you a hint: It’s not Argo, Spotlight or La La Land…

By: LA2000

LA2000 — Thu, 08 Dec 2016 07:07:00 +0000

Oh lord. This again. And so soon.

Hillary would like to remind everyone that there are three groups of people that detest the word “inevitable”: “American Idol” voters, “the poorly educated” voters, and Oscar voters.

And if “La La Land” suddenly finds itself being declared the presumptive winner by 538 and “The Huffington Post”, you know it’s toast.

Don’t jinx it, dummies. Academy members are the same infallible geniuses that voted for “Crash.”

By: cirkusfolk

cirkusfolk — Thu, 08 Dec 2016 04:09:00 +0000

I’m curious though. Now you don’t have either Hacksaw Ridge or Silence on the top ten. I’m thinking Lion and Jackie might be slipping off cause I definitely think you will have one of them nominated. Also, Loving is still a contender.

By: cirkusfolk

cirkusfolk — Thu, 08 Dec 2016 04:04:00 +0000

In reply to gregoryellwood. I know Jenkins has won a lot of the critics awards so far, but La La Land only exists because of Chazelle. If you've researched it, you know he conceived and wrote it before Whiplash and he's been trying to get it made ever since. I think he's apart of every category it fits into such as songs, and cinematography, etc. I can't see them giving it five or more awards and not giving him director. Also, despite some recent Pic/Director splits, it is still not the norm for Oscar. I think director is safer than Actress for instance.

By: cirkusfolk

cirkusfolk — Thu, 08 Dec 2016 03:59:00 +0000

In reply to ThisGuy01. Not just that but it's also an "escapism" film unlike its two main competitors (or any of the films that might be nominated against it) Moonlight and Manchester which are downers. After a year of negativity with the presidential campaigns, I think this will come into play. Last year, a film about exposing child abuse won Best Pic. It's time for feel good.

By: gregoryellwood

gregoryellwood — Thu, 08 Dec 2016 03:20:00 +0000

In reply to ThisGuy01. Silence had to be revelatory to win at such a late date.

By: gregoryellwood

gregoryellwood — Thu, 08 Dec 2016 03:19:00 +0000

In reply to cirkusfolk. I am pretty sure Jenkins gets director. It's the most critically acclaimed film of the year and A24 will pivot their campaign there after the nods. We'll see though.

By: gregoryellwood

gregoryellwood — Thu, 08 Dec 2016 03:18:00 +0000

In reply to lostjack. The Academy is markedly different than it was in 1997. They have much better taste overall and have more highbrow taste. The NYFCC is just an "extra" push that makes the members who have issues with its screenplay say "screw it" and vote for it anyway.

By: ThisGuy01

ThisGuy01 — Thu, 08 Dec 2016 03:06:00 +0000

La La Land is a love letter to Hollywood & Los Angeles… exactly like The Artist.
It doesn’t matter what other movies came out this year, certainly not a challenging film about the struggle of faith like Silence, La La Land was always going to win because the film is about making it in LA.

By: cirkusfolk

cirkusfolk — Thu, 08 Dec 2016 00:35:00 +0000

I came to realize this over the weekend myself. There hasn’t been a “sweep” at the Oscars since Slumdog won eight awards eight years ago, and I’m prepared to see La La Land possibly match that number. As of now it could take home Pic, Director, Actress, Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume, Song, Score and maybe a Sound. So that’s 10 it could win, even though I doubt it will get all those. Still when nominations come out, if we see Gosling nominated for Actor and like you said, a screenplay nomination, I think that will be the tell tale sign that the night will belong to La La Land. And for all those that will lament over Moonlight, Manchester by the Sea and Hell or High Water getting “the shaft,” the number of nominations they get (5 or 6 apiece) and a win for each (Moonlight – Sup Actor, Manchester – Actor, and Hell – Screenplay) will be their consolation.

By: lostjack

lostjack — Wed, 07 Dec 2016 23:47:00 +0000

This article reminds me of Roger Ebert’s TIFF review of Argo in Sept 2012 where he correctly predicted it would win Best Picture. The only potential flaw in your theory however, is that critics don’t vote for Oscars. L.A. Confidential won almost every critics group award in 1997 but Titanic took Best Picture. Granted, it’s kind of a different thing but I’m not so sure you should be crowning it already. That said, La La Land is a romantic musical about Hollywood so it does have that going for it.