Comments on: Can Daniel Day-Lewis Break The Spielberg Acting Awards Oscar Losing Streak For ‘Lincoln?’

By: Tom

Tom — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

I trust DDL to give the right kind of performance for Lincoln. That said, the Academy does seem to prefer showy work. It's a bit ridiculous to predict without seeing any of the films yet, but I'd say DDL, Joaquin and John Hawks are the three main players.

By: Prolly Not

Prolly Not — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

No. Daniel Day-Lewis is bound to give an incredible performance but I can see him being passed up for either Joaquin Phoenix in THE MASTER or Bill Murray in "Give Me An Oscar in Hudson"

By: DG

DG — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

I'm not sure why people are treating Lincoln like some sort of guaranteed success already. Yes it has a lot going for it in terms of cast and the idea of DDL doing something like this sounds obviously amazing but I think the subject matter honestly sounds like a potential snooze rest. Maybe I'm totally wrong and the movie will be riveting but I'm guessing if that happens it will because DDL gives an intense performance, in which case he'll deserve awards talk/recognition, but for now it seems a little premature no?

By: sandra

sandra — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

Not if Joaquin has anything to say about it.

By: Dan

Dan — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

Joaquin Phoenix or John Hawkes will win.

By: yer

yer — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

Having seen THE MASTER a couple of days ago in SF, DDL's performance will have to be right up there with his best to beat Phoenix. Phoenix gives a De Niro in his prime type of performance in TM.

By: mpbstereo

mpbstereo — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

"Oscar losing streak…" most directors would consider it a compliment to even qualify for a losing streak.

By: Mike

Mike — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

DDL might be really great in Lincoln and he might win a lot of precursor awards this upcoming awards season, but I think the Academy voters will say pass on him. Just like what happened with his performance in Gangs of New York. The Oscar will go to somebody else. Either for Murray who hasn't won or maybe Phoenix who will stir up more talks in The Master.

By: MJ

MJ — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

If it brings back the subtle DDL of old, I have no problem crowning him "the greatest actor in Hollywood history".

By: sp

sp — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

Marie, you made a very good point .

By: MAL

MAL — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

There was no more deserving winner than Ralph Feinnes the year he was nominated (but didn't win) for Schindler's List. As Marie sites below, his was subtle, nuanced and frightening — too frightening for the Academy. Instead, the award went to the showy, over-the-top performance by Tommy Lee Jones in The Fugitive. Mr. Jones is an outstanding actor but there is really no comparison between his performance in No Country for Old Men to The Fugitive. Nope – the Academy goes for showy over subtle.

By: Mark

Mark — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

Let's wait and see the performance first. Personally, I reckon it'll be a magnificent performance and the Oscar is his to lose.

By: Rajat

Rajat — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

It's too early to say anything but i wish its DDL.He is the one of the greatest actors alive.He has done just 11 films since 1989,and given everything to each and every role.Other actors are also great but he is the best indeed.

By: Flor

Flor — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

All I hope is that Joaquin Phoenix will win the Oscar for best actor, is excellent and deserves it for years!

By: Xas

Xas — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

I read this argument before and I think this could be the biggest Day-Lewis' big disadvantage – Himself . His Daniel Plainview is considerated by many as one of the best Oscar winning performances and we need to remember he became unstoppable in that award season. The bar is too high and his Lincoln needs to surpase it with critical acclaim -Even more than Daniel Plainview- and unfortunally for him, his second Oscar is too recent in AMPAS members' memories. And next, his competition is strong: Hawkes -Character actor playing a real life diseable man in a feel-good movie hit by Sundance-, Joaquin Phoenix -One of the best actors of his generation who can make a great comeback with a tour-de-force performance in a PTA film not less-, Hugh Jackman -One of the most succesful Hollywood stars and Tony Award winner who has found a perfect role for his talents-, Bill Murray -Ex comedian playing another beloved US president in difficult times-, Denzel Washington -Maybe the most respected black actor of our times and also, he's still a magnetic Hollywood star- and even Brad Pitt -International Hollywood star whose last six years is making excellent choices working with auteurs and could have afterglow love after his last year's defeat-. So, I think, unless Day-Lewis surpass himself with an excelent film by Spielberg, he could be happy with just the nomination.

By: DG

DG — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

Good point!

By: DG

DG — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

Marie- Good point!

By: LA2000

LA2000 — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

This feels like Joaquin Phoenix's year. The Oscars are selected by storytellers and it always seems that there is some narrative psychology going on (more than simply a clinical evaluation of merit) when they pick a winner. These people love a "come back" story, they love obvious actor-ly transformations like losing or gaining weight, they love the notion of hard earned redemption, and they love to anoint a new "king/queen for a day".

Phoenix's narrative aligns with all of these. I think he's going to win because not only is the performance good, but because it will make a good story.

By: JD

JD — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

DDL will almost certainly get a nomination, as the guy just dosen't give bad performances, even if not every single film he's starred in has been great (although most have) and he is by general consensus far and away the best actor of his generation in an iconic role of one of history's great figures so the stars seem to be aligning. However the competition will be tough, yes Phoenix will more than likely garner a nomination as his performance is the best of his career. Whilst I favour Murray to get a nod for playing another president in Hyde Park on Hudson as for the others it is difficult to say who will come in the final nominations but at this stage it looks a 3 horse rivalry for the top honour, but this of course means nothing when you consider the snubs (Pacino 72-74 stands out) and unjustified wins that the academy has handed out (Tom Hanks Twice). So predicting the winner is hardly an exact science, only guessing the nominees is the closest we can get.

By: AJMR

AJMR — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

Regarding the Oscar chart and the placement of Silver Linings Playbook, so one person's opinion motivated you guys to move SLP from 14 to 16?…yeah, right, whatever….as long as Jennifer Lawrence, and Robert DeNiro receive the nominations they so richly deserve (and from what I'm hearing, especially Jennifer Lawrence), I'll be fine if Silver Linings Playbook does not score a best film nomination. It is funny though how you totally serious film types at IW play right along with the Hollywood politics (LOL).

By: Thomas Sundby

Thomas Sundby — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:35 +0000

If Daniel Day-Lewis can give a close picture of "Honest Abe" I`m sure he`ll be greatly rewarded for acting.

By: CR

CR — Fri, 13 May 2016 11:41:34 +0000

Do you know what the problem with moviegoers these days? We're so focused on stats and streaks that we forget about what's important: the actual movie. Here we have movies that haven't even been released and we're already trying to predict who will come out on top. While it's okay to speculate who will win, you cannot reach these sorts of conclusions without the slightest inkling of what the movie has in store. And the Academy? Don't get me started! They have made the movie industry so political that I can't tell for sure if the best film/actor/actress did win.