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	Comments on: &#8216;A Wrinkle in Time&#8217; Struggles As &#8216;Black Panther&#8217; Wins The Weekend And Crosses $1 Billion [Box Office]	</title>
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		By: cirkusfolk		</title>
		<link>https://staging2.theplaylist.net/black-panther-week-4-20180311/#comment-159120</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[cirkusfolk]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 11 Mar 2018 18:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[So I discussed what is going to be a potentially record breaking 9.5 billion dollar year for Disney in 2019, but let’s back up to this year, specifically A Wrinkle in Time which is what prompted the posts to begin with.  We all know every Marvel, Pixar and Star Wars film makes Disney the most money and are usually in the 90% on Rotten Tomatoes, but what about their other projects?  Well, it’s proving their live action remakes of their classic animated films are almost all good business.  Pete’s Dragon underperformed but still didn’t lose money.  So what else is there?  Well, Disney being Disney will adapt anything into a movie whether it be based on a previous movie, book, tv show, video game and yes, even their own theme park rides.  And as you can imagine, not all of them prove to be successes.  In fact, other than the Pirates series, Disney’s “original” programming usually fails, sometimes catastrophically.  Let’s look at the 7 certifiable bombs from the Mouse House since 2010...  

Prince of Persia (2010) - 200 budget - 336 box office - 36% critics, 58% audience

Sorcerers Apprentice (2010) - 150 budget - 215 box office - 40% critics, 53% audience

John Carter (2012) - 250 budget - 284 box office - 51% critics, 59% audience

The Lone Ranger (2013) - 215 budget - 260 box office - 31% critics, 51% audience

Tomorrowland (2015) - 190 budget - 209 box office - 50% critics, 49% audience

The BFG (2016) - 140 budget - 183 box office - 75% critics, 57% audience

Alice Through the Looking Glass (2016) - 170 budget - 299 box office - 29% critics, 49% audience 

Now to be considered a commercial failure, I figure a film needs to make less than twice its  reported budget because we all know marketing isn’t included in that.  And to be a critical failure, per rotten tomatoes’ parameters, a film needs to score less than a 60%.  I think if you meet all three of these criteria, it can be dubbed a “bomb.”  The only film included here that didn’t possess all three qualifications is The BFG, which somehow managed to score a 75% with critics yet an inverse 57% with audiences.  

So back to A Wrinkle in Time.  It’s early, but the data suggests it will join the Disney Bomb club.  Critically it’s at a 42% with the critics and a dismal 32% with the audience.  Now some might say the audience score is being manipulated by outside sources, as they also claimed this happened with Star Wars: The Last Jedi, but if you look at the score for Wrinkle on IMDB as well, it has a 3.7 which is very low considering Disney’s other bombs hover around a 6.5 rating on that site.  Box office wise, Wrinkle earned 10 mil on its opening day which should put it at around a 33 mil opening weekend.  This is a similar opening for all the other films listed above.  Disney hasn’t released the film’s official budget though, so if it turns out the film cost less than 100 mil and if it can muster over 200 mil in receipts (which most of these bombs managed to do), it might be in the clear financially at least.  

Regardless, it’s probably not what Disney was hoping for.  Black Panther clearly exceeded all expectations and could very well become the highest grossing Marvel movie to date.  And one can assume Avengers: Infinity War could keep pace with that film as well, so it’s not like Disney is sweating a bump in the six lane highway.  Point being, they’ve had an average of one a year.  Still, they have three movies slated for the fall that could go either way in my book.  A live action Winnie the Pooh tale, a dark take on The Nutcracker and a long awaited sequel to the beloved Mary Poppins.  The latter which I would put most of my faith in, but like always, you never can tell.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So I discussed what is going to be a potentially record breaking 9.5 billion dollar year for Disney in 2019, but let’s back up to this year, specifically A Wrinkle in Time which is what prompted the posts to begin with.  We all know every Marvel, Pixar and Star Wars film makes Disney the most money and are usually in the 90% on Rotten Tomatoes, but what about their other projects?  Well, it’s proving their live action remakes of their classic animated films are almost all good business.  Pete’s Dragon underperformed but still didn’t lose money.  So what else is there?  Well, Disney being Disney will adapt anything into a movie whether it be based on a previous movie, book, tv show, video game and yes, even their own theme park rides.  And as you can imagine, not all of them prove to be successes.  In fact, other than the Pirates series, Disney’s “original” programming usually fails, sometimes catastrophically.  Let’s look at the 7 certifiable bombs from the Mouse House since 2010&#8230;  </p>
<p>Prince of Persia (2010) &#8211; 200 budget &#8211; 336 box office &#8211; 36% critics, 58% audience</p>
<p>Sorcerers Apprentice (2010) &#8211; 150 budget &#8211; 215 box office &#8211; 40% critics, 53% audience</p>
<p>John Carter (2012) &#8211; 250 budget &#8211; 284 box office &#8211; 51% critics, 59% audience</p>
<p>The Lone Ranger (2013) &#8211; 215 budget &#8211; 260 box office &#8211; 31% critics, 51% audience</p>
<p>Tomorrowland (2015) &#8211; 190 budget &#8211; 209 box office &#8211; 50% critics, 49% audience</p>
<p>The BFG (2016) &#8211; 140 budget &#8211; 183 box office &#8211; 75% critics, 57% audience</p>
<p>Alice Through the Looking Glass (2016) &#8211; 170 budget &#8211; 299 box office &#8211; 29% critics, 49% audience </p>
<p>Now to be considered a commercial failure, I figure a film needs to make less than twice its  reported budget because we all know marketing isn’t included in that.  And to be a critical failure, per rotten tomatoes’ parameters, a film needs to score less than a 60%.  I think if you meet all three of these criteria, it can be dubbed a “bomb.”  The only film included here that didn’t possess all three qualifications is The BFG, which somehow managed to score a 75% with critics yet an inverse 57% with audiences.  </p>
<p>So back to A Wrinkle in Time.  It’s early, but the data suggests it will join the Disney Bomb club.  Critically it’s at a 42% with the critics and a dismal 32% with the audience.  Now some might say the audience score is being manipulated by outside sources, as they also claimed this happened with Star Wars: The Last Jedi, but if you look at the score for Wrinkle on IMDB as well, it has a 3.7 which is very low considering Disney’s other bombs hover around a 6.5 rating on that site.  Box office wise, Wrinkle earned 10 mil on its opening day which should put it at around a 33 mil opening weekend.  This is a similar opening for all the other films listed above.  Disney hasn’t released the film’s official budget though, so if it turns out the film cost less than 100 mil and if it can muster over 200 mil in receipts (which most of these bombs managed to do), it might be in the clear financially at least.  </p>
<p>Regardless, it’s probably not what Disney was hoping for.  Black Panther clearly exceeded all expectations and could very well become the highest grossing Marvel movie to date.  And one can assume Avengers: Infinity War could keep pace with that film as well, so it’s not like Disney is sweating a bump in the six lane highway.  Point being, they’ve had an average of one a year.  Still, they have three movies slated for the fall that could go either way in my book.  A live action Winnie the Pooh tale, a dark take on The Nutcracker and a long awaited sequel to the beloved Mary Poppins.  The latter which I would put most of my faith in, but like always, you never can tell.</p>
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